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India’s Crude Production Slumps as Offshore Exploration Push Begins

A 3% decline in India's crude oil output for the 2025/2026 fiscal year marks the third consecutive annual drop. As mature fields age and production wanes, the government is shifting its strategy toward high-stakes, deepwater exploration to curb a heavy reliance on imports that currently satisfy 90% of domestic demand.

India’s Crude Production Slumps as Offshore Exploration Push Begins

Oil and Natural Gas Minister Hardeep Singh Puri informed Parliament that aging fields remain the primary culprit behind the downturn. While state-owned Oil and Natural Gas Corporation managed to limit its individual production loss to 2% by employing Enhanced and Improved Oil Recovery techniques, the broader national trend remains downward.

To reverse this, the federal government recently launched the National Offshore Exploration Scheme. Backed by $8.8 billion in support through 2031, the initiative targets the Krishna-Godavari, Cauvery, Mahanadi, and Andaman basins. By covering up to 50% of drilling costs for deepwater wells—which can cost upwards of $150 million each—officials hope to de-risk investments in these frontier regions. Alongside this exploration drive, the country is expanding its strategic storage capacity to insulate the economy from global supply shocks.

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