Both benchmarks remained well above their February levels, before the war began, but were sharply below peaks reached in mid-October. Signals about the conflict’s trajectory remain mixed: the risk of a major escalation appears moderate, while Iranian attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz continue and prospects for a peace deal remain remote.
President Donald Trump said this week, “We don’t need a deal with Iran,” adding, “Those days have long since passed. We’ve got their money, Hundreds of Billions of Dollars, and we’ve got their Strait!” Iran has shown no sign of backing away from the conditions it has set for a deal. Iranian sources reported that four vessels were attacked after failing to follow Iran’s instructions for crossing Hormuz.





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